Thursday, June 19, 2008

Genesis of the end

This is genesis of the end for dependence on oil economies. An era in which, environment for energy innovation has ripen. Every single human being has started thinking about fuel and its impact on him, whether direct or indirect. This is I think, nature of mankind that they start thinking wholeheartedly for themselves only at time when they come under extreme. Though extreme has not come yet, But they have started smelling it. Yes, you are right; I am talking about crude oil and its implications on mankind. Well some may say that oil economies have not started thinking about it. Sorry to say this, but you are wrong. They have smelt it in same sense as we have. They have started investing in other sources of income for themselves. You can see it with your naked eyes in Arabian countries specially Dubai, which is hotbed of all Arabs investment experiments. Sheikhs are buying farm lands in Asian countries for their food security. Hmm necessity is mother of invention.


Energy security, inflation and slowing down of global growth has collectively attributed to this phenomenon. Well, this is blessing in disguise and Knee-jerk for economies which are solely living on burning crude oil. Analyst predicting crude oil $150-$200-$250 so on and our hearts are sinking. What will happen now, Speculators, Arabs, OPEC or US Whosoever may be responsible for this, I would say this is genesis of the end, crude oil may see. The speed of increasing oil prices will be directly proportional to the innovation of new energy sources. Bio-fuel or nuclear energy might not be that much safer option for our planet and our well being. For the time being these are our compulsions. But, I may say compulsions always bring new ways to deal with complex problems.


Now, time has come when innovation will take place at take off speed. Human brain will start working with vigor and it would be most valuable invention of mankind for the centuries and generations to come. We are most fortunate generation which will see this transition. Many models will start coming from many directions and after many failures, there would be one, which would be widely acknowledged. It’s just like 1908 when T-Model was launched by Henry Ford. Revolution was started in automobile industry. Same type of revolution of hydrogen would be seen as demise of crude oil. Honda has shown the way ahead by launching new hybrid vehicle this is small step for the giant leap. This shows us that the days of crude oil hegemony as energy major are numbered. Hybrid vehicle will change the game forever. I am sure in next decade or so we may see hydrogen as source of energy which would be safe and secure for our planet also.

Monday, April 14, 2008

Global Knots

I am talking about term globalize or going global or people say world getting together. Some scholars were of view that globalization could change the world. But, at the same time some were against globalization. So when the fight between these two groups started it led to the victory of former group. World has become globalized and the group for the motion is happy. I think the warnings of other group was not at all illusionary. They are surfacing in many countries and at places, they are showing or they may show their darkest part. What has gone wrong, where things are going out of control? These situations make me think of web where some wires have knots and these knots are leading to new situation which we can call "Global Knots".



These global knots are the flash points and people may see these knots as start of dooms day for globalization. I see it as opportunity to start with. These knots are bonds between the least developed and most developed human beings. We can say bond between least connected and highly connected beings. Why these knots are developing this should be the main concern for all of us. These knots are developing in surging economies developed economies and least developed or underdeveloped economies. These are flash points which should be handled with utmost care. Since being Indian, I have seen drastic changes which have occurred in last few years of my life in this part of sub continent. Most of the times, I am amazed with the pace of things going around me and my country. When I am talking about India I cannot forget China also. Both the economies are growing at neck breaking speed. Both are prime targets of western economies. I am naming these two because both are also part of global knots. People and organizations of both countries are flashing on Forbes list now and than every year. But, knots are also developing here at same speed between rich and poor. We can say speed of developing knots between two (Rich and Poor) is directly proportional to the pace of developing economy. The birth of this situation can be attributed to three P’s (3P’s) people, politics and population. These 3P’s should be coordinated in right manner and we can see unwinding of these knots.

At Marco level these knots are also affecting larger economies such as America. Recent clouds of recession which are looming largely on America are the bi product of these knots. These signs were visible enough to tackle with in early days also but greed versus risk theory came in front of 3 P’s. They started negating each and every sign for fulfilling greed. In the same manner Europe is struck. Now, Federal bank is pressing panic buttons thousand of people have lost their jobs and properties and many others are still getting kicks of this bad situation. This doesn’t means India and China have got immunity to this liquidity crunch which America is facing right now. Here also they are trying to fight with rising inflation which can lead cooling off the pace of growth.


These all situations are taking birth due to knots in the web of globalization. These knots are big business opportunities. Because these knots are flashing continuously thus easy to find among many economies and globalize world. They are hiding immense opportunities in them in developed, developing as well as least developed countries. We should regularly innovate new business models which include left out people to unwind these knots. There is immense opportunity for cost cutting by using man power in developing and least developed countries and thus feeding unnourished people. By understanding the needs and wants of these left out people which I may call gold under the heap. By taking them to mainstream and making a better planet to live and enjoys. In this way we will unwind Global Knots and carve a bond between all human beings